Tuesday, August 26, 2008

Failed banks since 2007

Number of banks failed:

2009 year to date end of May: 34
2008: 25
2007: 3

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The Columbian Bank and Trust, Topeka, KS August 22, 2008
First Priority Bank, Bradenton, FL August 1, 2008
First Heritage Bank, NA, Newport Beach, CA July 25, 2008
First National Bank of Nevada, Reno, NV July 25, 2008
IndyMac Bank, Pasadena, CA July 11, 2008
First Integrity Bank, NA, Staples, MN May 30, 2008
ANB Financial, NA, Bentonville, AR May 9, 2008
Hume Bank, Hume, MO March 7, 2008
Douglass National Bank, Kansas City, MO January 25, 2008
Miami Valley Bank, Lakeview, OH October 4, 2007
NetBank, Alpharetta, GA September 28, 2007
Metropolitan Savings Bank, Pittsburgh, PA February 2, 2007

*Source: FDIC

Friday, August 22, 2008

Buffett sees economy weak until 2009

By Jonathan Stempel

Warren Buffett said the economy is still in a recession and unlikely to improve before 2009 but that stocks appear better valued than a year ago.

The billionaire investor also said there is a "reasonable chance" shareholders of Fannie Mae (FNM.N) and Freddie Mac (FRE.N) may be wiped out in any government bailout of the mortgage financiers.

Speaking on Friday on CNBC television, Buffett said some housing-related businesses in his Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRKa.N)(BRKb.N) conglomerate are struggling as the economy works off past excess in making credit available.

"You always find out who's been swimming naked when the tide goes out. We found out that Wall Street has been kind of a nudist beach," said Buffett, who in March was called the world's richest person by Forbes magazine.

He also said Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has no "magic wand" to boost an economy facing weak growth prospects, mounting inflation and deteriorating credit. "In my judgment it won't be any better five months from now," he said.

Buffett nevertheless said U.S. stocks are broadly "more attractive" than a year ago. He also said Berkshire has completely unwound a once $21 billion bet against the U.S. dollar, helping boost the greenback in Friday morning trade.

In May, Buffett said Berkshire still had a stake in one currency, the Brazilian real.

The Omaha, Nebraska-based company bought $3.98 billion of stock in other companies in the second quarter, and Buffett said it has added in recent months to its big stake in either American Express Co (AXP.N) or Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.N), but did not say which one.

Shares of both rose in early trading, as did major stock indexes.

Buffett reiterated his support for Barack Obama, the presumptive Democratic nominee, in November's U.S. presidential election, but admires Republican rival John McCain. "President Obama is going to have plenty on his plate in January," he said.

HOUSING EXPOSURE

Since 1965, Buffett has transformed Berkshire from a failing textile company into a $180 billion conglomerate.

Berkshire is best known for insurance holdings such as Geico and sells such products as ice cream and underwear.

But its 76 businesses also include housing-related units Acme bricks, Clayton manufactured homes, Shaw carpeting and the Home Services of America Inc real estate brokerage.

"What we're seeing in business, in our retail businesses, or anything having to do with housing, is even a further slowing down in June and July, both in terms of credit experience where people first got in trouble with house payments, and now credit card payments," Buffett said.

Some economists say a recession occurs when the economy contracts for two straight quarters. Buffett said it occurs when people are doing less well than before.

In morning trading on the New York Stock Exchange, Berkshire Class A shares rose $1,650 to $116,650, and its Class B shares rose $50 to $3,885. American Express shares rose $1.42 to $38.43, Wells Fargo rose 99 cents to $29.43.

The CNBC interview was tied to the national roll-out of the documentary "I.O.U.S.A.," which argues that the nation might face economic disaster if it doesn't curtail mounting debt.

Buffett is interviewed in the movie.

"THE GAME IS OVER"

Fannie and Freddie shares have plummeted as speculation grows about a government bailout of the companies, which own or guarantee almost half of U.S. mortgages. Shares of both have fallen more than 90 percent in the last year.

Buffett called them "too big to fail" and said "the game is over" for them as independent companies. "In a practical sense, as institutions, they don't have any net worth," he said.

Buffett said he has not been approached to assist in any bailout, which he said would be too big to come from the private sector. Though he said "nothing is going to happen" to investors in Fannie's and Freddie's insured mortgages or debt, but "the equity and preferred stock is another question."

Berkshire is trying to reduce the $31.16 billion of cash on its balance sheet, and Buffett said he is being approached by a growing number of "distressed" companies rather than viable takeover candidates.

Buffett said he recently tried to invest $500 million in a Chinese stock he declined to name, but was turned down.

He also said he erred in selling 61 percent of Berkshire's stake in Anheuser-Busch Cos (BUD.N) for $61 to $62 per share, ahead of the U.S. brewer's July agreement to be taken over by Belgium's InBev NV (INTB.BR) for $70 per share.

"It was about valuation and whether I thought the deal would go through," Buffett said. "In retrospect, I was wrong to decide to partially sell."

(Additional reporting by Euan Rocha and Vivianne Rodrigues; Editing by Steve Orlofsky/Jeffrey Benkoe/Daniel Trotta)

Thursday, August 21, 2008

ABC News: list of troubled banks

List of 10 banks disclosed:

By BRIAN ROSS, RHONDA SCHWARTZ, and JUSTIN ROOD
July 15, 2008

While the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) is keeping secret its official list of 90 troubled banks, ABC News has obtained other lists prepared by several research groups and financial analysts.

The lists use versions of the so-called "Texas ratio" which compare a bank's assets and reserves to its non-performing loans, based on financial data made public by the FDIC in March.

Analysts say banks with a ratio over 100 per cent would be the most likely to fail, based on what happened to Texas savings and loans during the 1980's.


Bank

City

State

“Texas-ratio”

Colorado Federal Savings Bank

Greenwood Village

CO

244.8

Eastern Savings Bank, FSB

Hunt Valley

MD

222.7

Integrity Bank

Alpharetta

GA

191.6

Ameribank, Inc.

Welch

WV

153.7

First Priority Bank

Bradenton

FL

122.6

First Security National Bank

Norcross

GA

112.1

Magnet Bank

Salt Lake City

UT

110.4

Security Pacific Bank

Los Angeles

CA

102.8

First National Bank of Brookfield

Brookfield

IL

102.1

The State Bank of Lebo

Lebo

KS

100.6

Source: Research Associates of America

Wednesday, August 13, 2008

US foreclosure filings surge 55 percent

US foreclosure filings surge 55 percent
Thursday August 14, 12:01 am ET
By Alan Zibel, AP Business Writer

Foreclosures in US rose 55 percent in July as housing market continued to sink WASHINGTON (AP) -- The number of homeowners stung by the dramatic decline in the U.S. housing market jumped last month as foreclosure filings grew by more than 50 percent compared with the same month a year ago, according to data released Thursday.

Nationwide, more than 272,000 homes received at least one foreclosure-related notice in July, up 55 percent from about 175,000 in the same month last year and up 8 percent from June, RealtyTrac Inc. said. That means one in every 464 U.S. households received a foreclosure filing last month.

Irvine, Calif.-based RealtyTrac monitors default notices, auction sale notices and bank repossessions. More than 77,000 properties were repossessed by lenders nationwide in July, the company said.

Nevada, California, Florida, Arizona, Ohio, Georgia and Michigan had the highest foreclosure rates. Foreclosure filings increased from a year earlier in all but eight states.

The combination of weak housing sales, falling home values, tighter mortgage lending criteria and a slowing U.S. economy has left financially strapped homeowners with few options to avoid foreclosure. Many can't find buyers or owe more than their home is worth and can't refinance into an affordable loan.

As foreclosures soar, banks and mortgage investors are also facing a pileup of foreclosed properties on their books and are cutting prices dramatically.

RealtyTrac noted that it had more than 750,000 foreclosed homes in its database of properties for sale, equal to about 17 percent of the 4.5 million U.S. homes that were up for sale in June.

To speed up the disposition of the 54,000 foreclosed properties it owns, Fannie Mae is opening offices in California and Florida and is considering selling those properties in bulk to investors. "I do not think this is a time to be holding onto (foreclosed properties) hoping for a better day," CEO Daniel Mudd said last week.

It remains to be seen how much the government's intervention will stem the housing crisis. President Bush last month signed sweeping housing legislation that aims to prevent foreclosures by allowing homeowners to swap their mortgages for more affordable loans, but only if their lender agrees to take a loss on the initial loan.

The bill is projected to help about 400,000 households.

The number of foreclosures "could start to stabilize as early as the first quarter of next year if the government program gains any traction," said Rick Sharga, RealtyTrac's vice president for marketing. "That's really the unknowable right now."

Even with government help, nearly 2.8 million U.S. households will either face foreclosure, turn over their homes to their lender or sell the properties for less than their mortgage's value by the end of next year, predicts Moody's Economy.com.

In the RealtyTrac report, the Cape Coral-Fort Myers area in Florida was the metro area with the highest rate of foreclosure, followed by three California cities: Merced, Stockton, and Modesto. Las Vegas ranked fifth.

Saturday, August 2, 2008

America's Most Overpriced ZIP Codes - By Matt Woolsey, Forbes.com Aug 1st, 2008

Ten spots where buyers pay a huge premium to own relative to how much it would cost to rent.

In San Jose, Calif., home to Silicon Valley and some of the highest home values in the country, a bumper sticker reads, "Dear God, one more bubble before I die."

Chances are the car's driver lives in Willow Glen, a neighborhood with a small-town feel, Spanish-style single family homes and a main street with sidewalk cafes and locally owned shops. To live there, residents are paying the city's highest prices relative to what they could pay to rent similar properties in the same area. When you compare mortgage payments to the value of a similar home on the rental market, the price to buy is 26.1 times higher, one of the biggest differences in the country.


Willow Glen 95125: 26.1

Dallas 75209: 26.7

San Francisco 94122: 28.5

San Diego 92103: 30

West Hollywood 90038: 30.2

Seattle 98104: 30.3

Boston 02111: 30.5

New York 10013: 36.3


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Comment: San Jose 95129 31.0; Palo Alto 31.25; Sammamish 20.1